"In a scenario where Iran were to constantly launch drones and missiles at Israel, who would lose the war of attrition? Would Iran run out of drones and missiles first, or would Israel run out of Iron Dome munitions first?"
"In a protracted war of attrition between Iran and Israel involving constant drone and missile strikes, Iran's missile stocks would deplete first (within 6-12 months), but Israel's victory depends on sustained U.S. support for interceptor resupply. The conflict would likely escalate to direct strikes before pure attrition decides the outcome."
| Outcome | Likelihood | Timeframe |
|---|---|---|
| Iran runs out of missiles first |
|
6-12 months |
| Israel faces interceptor shortages |
|
3-6 months (if U.S. aid slows) |
| Conflict escalates to direct strikes |
|
Before attrition decides |